Posts Tagged ‘Politics’

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THE THIRD INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION

May 24, 2012

 Every day, our politicians and press fill our newspapers, radios and TVs with short silly sound bites about the Economy and Job Creation….All we hear is the way to lowering unemployment is through creating more manufacturing jobs and putting people back to work in factories….and the sad story of those long-unemployed that have given up looking.  Sometimes those stories focus on the over 50; sometimes they focus on the 20-30 year olds that can’t find that first job.

And certainly, these are issues, and certainly business and government ALIKE, need to work together to improve the situation.  Repairing our crumbling infrastructure (yes, that means spend money to FUND these projects) make the most sense to me – it helps provide jobs and income for both ends of spectrum  of the unemployed.

But the argument never seems to focus on real questions.  Of those recent graduates, what have they been trained to do?  Can they not get jobs in their field, or at their salary expectations?  Have they been willing to look at other fields and lower their salary expectations? Are those that cannot get jobs holding degrees based on 20th century skills?  Are there options available in other areas? Are they being enabled by parents who in trying to help,  allow them to move home, and not contribute in some way?   Or, how many of those unemployed that have quit looking for work have quit because they have become entrepreneurs and are now self-employed?  Have we honestly looked at education and how our next generations are still being taught by a method developed to prepare them for the manufacturing world of the early 20th century?    I am not questioning the problems, nor the numbers, I am just questioning where we are putting the emphasis when we report it.

And I do so because as you have all heard me say over and over – the world has changed.  The paradigms of the 20th century have shifted.  I hear little discussion on this, nor what we as a people are trying to do about it…other than grieve for the “good old days” , blame the “other side” and promise to bring them back.

So  I was pleasantly surprised a while ago to see the STRIB report on the “Third Industrial Revolution”.  Yes, this is reality!

The STRIB briefly traced manufacturing history from the first “revolution” in late 18th century  in Britain and the mechanization of the textile industry; weavers cottages disappeared and the factory was born with the cotton mill.  The second phase is one we are most familiar with, when early in 20th century, Ford created the moving assembly line and mass production was born.

And now, what I have been referring to as the impact of technology and digital-everything, combined with customization has created a new environment, that we as a people all live in, use, and push for more of the same…and yet, cannot make the connection with what that means for jobs and education!

The article calls this the “Third Industrial Revolution”.  Technologies have emerged with new software, new materials, better robots, new processes and have created a changing definition of Web-based services.    We all know this; we see the impact in each of our lives…and we think it’s a better world for it…we talk about great strides made in our understanding of our environment, our universe and our minds , but no one stops and reflects on what changes occur in the transition – never to be resurrected again. 

 Although this is my passion and my frustration with our transitional world today, I was surprised by one item in the article…”Some carmakers already produce twice as many vehicles per employee as they didonly a decade or so ago”.  Think of that impact without the emotion.  Are we each buying twice as many cars as we did a decade ago?  How does that all reconcile with the expectation that when production goes up/costs go down…and how in the world do we expect that manufacturers will employ the same amount of workers they did even at the beginning of the 21st century-when it takes half as many to do the same job?!! 

 We are balancing on the precipice between two worlds – pushing for the changes and progress of the future, but seeing no connection to what that means in terms of changing needs that made up our 20th century world.    We want the new and we want it cheaper and faster but we still train our kids for a life in the old world; we pick our leaders on who can best argue how they will BRING BACK the old and none of its fits together for a promising future. 

We cling to old educational theories; when we need to think about what we know today regarding how people learn and what the world needs as expertise; then craft a new educational system that works for the challenges that lay before us.

We judge the existing President on what Truman and Eisenhower, Kennedy , Reagan would have done – all of whom lived, learned, and governed in a world very foreign to the one in which we live today; we consider an alternative to run our country whose business experience all dates back to a time when laptops, and notebooks, I-pods and I-pads were not even words in our vocabulary – let alone what they mean and the changes that they have brought to the very “business world” he boasts about.   The list goes on and on.

In all arenas, we continue to give credence to a hierarchical approach that served tribes and families and even businesses well in the old days, but has been replaced.  To quote the title of a book resting on the corner of my desk, “Collaborate or Perish”.  Big Blue had to face that reality and the strides they have made in RE THINKING their world in a collaborative environment put most other major corporations to shame.

And although I know thought-leaders through-out the centuries have all experienced similar struggles as they toiled to bring about change, the difference is that the WORLD is changing at an exponential pace around us.  We do not have time to let the influencers in my generation die off; we need to get with the program.   While we doddle along patting ourselves on the back for what we accomplished in World War II, the rest of the world is moving forward – and soon will be moving ahead without us.  Let’s stop re-fighting old battles of the 1950s and 1960s and focus on how we as the US can contribute and influence the world of the future!

Let’s embrace the Third Industrial Revolution and contribute to it, not try to deny and destroy it!

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A GLIMMER OF HOPE…

November 9, 2010

This morning’s editorial pages in the Strib (other than one column of space wasted on Bachman) were filled with opinions about how the elections will impact taxes and the looming expiration of the Bush Tax cuts. 

And of course, most reflect extreme positions on either side of the issue and the continuing buy-in to rhetoric whether it is based on fact or fiction from either side.  But with a header of “On taxes, let’s get Bush out of the equation”, a column reproduced from the Bloomberg News caught my attention. 

The Bush Tax Reform was passed by the majority in Congress with an expiration date of December 31, 2010.  One has to assume, then, that it reflected the majority of the people of the United States, right? This was a TEMPORARY cut – a stimulus to keep us going as threat of a serious recession loomed ahead in the early 2000’s. 

Please don’t digress into the assumptions that the Republicans fully expected it would become permanent on 12/31/10 and the Democrats fully expected it would expire, but the only way it would get passed is to set a date far enough out in the future to give hope to both sides, that they would have enough control in 2010 to get their way.  As we know, that did not happen; so let’s just move on.

Instead of stimulating growth because of the extra dollars it put in business and consumer pockets,  the growth we experienced in this century’s first decade was brief and  based on consumer spending that exceeded personal income as America lived on credit cards and home equity loans to falsely manufacture the appearance of economic growth, as our consumption was enabled by irresponsible financial institutions.  And we all know what that led to – The Great Recession of the Bush Administration – for which we are still suffering.

It did not work, folks – just like the tax cuts in early Reagan years did not work.  Maybe we are supposed to let the country try again – so that when a third attempt also fails we can stand up like the umpire and signal, with three strikes “You’re Out”! And then going forward, have we put this battle to bed?

I think not.  Hence, Kevin Hassett’s column caught my eye, as he positioned we let the tax reform as it stands expire as planned.  And what would we have then?  AN OPPORTUNITY!

An opportunity to go forward neither defending nor attacking the inherent issues with the that temporary bill…an opportunity to start with a clean slate…an opportunity to clearly define the issue in plain terms, brainstorm possible options to alleviate the problem, and through consensus and collaboration reach agreement and common ground.   In truth, we all know we need a tax overhaul.  Wouldn’t it be simpler to accomplish if we did not have to divert our energies to defending  or attacking old baggage?   Out of a disaster, can we not mold a better way?  Isn’t that the American dream and mantra?

Hassert purports that if we start from scratch and collaborate as adults, Obama could deliver on the promise of change, and the Republicans could lock in their political gains of this election by showing voters they can govern effectively.  A WIN-WIN for the American people?    A phrase that has almost disappeared from our  vocabulary as we wrestle in this false fight to protect the past.

According to the NY Federal Reserve, somehow over the last 21 months, the American people have reduced their personal debt by almost $1 trillion!  Perhaps that new tax bill could incorporate their methods and we could not only put an end to this meaningless tax argument, but show some reduction in the national debt as well!

And wouldn’t it be music to our ears to get the ineffective “Bush Tax Cuts” out of the conversation?

I know, I’m dreaming – but all it took was that glimmer of hope to take away for a few moments the despair regarding the current situation.  So I thought I should share.